2026 Senate vs. 2024 president, 30 states; one arrow per county

Where the 2026 Senate vote moved, county by county

Against the 2024 presidential vote, the unofficial Senate results moved toward the Democrat in 2,156 of 2,177 counties in the 30 states where a Democrat ran against a Republican. The 21 that moved toward the Republican are in Maine, Illinois, Minnesota and Florida.

Map of United States counties. In the 30 states with a Democrat-against-Republican Senate race, each counted county has an arrow from its center. Almost all lean right, toward the Democrat, longest in South Texas, where Starr County moved 71.8 points. Twenty-one short red arrows lean left, toward the Republican, in counties shaded red: 13 in Maine, four in Illinois, three in Minnesota and one in Florida. The table below lists them.

Hover over or tap a county to see its swing, or look one up below.

Look up a county

The 21 counties that moved toward the Republican

Points of swing toward the Republican, 2024 president to 2026 Senate. Select a county to show it on the map.
CountyStatePoints

2026: AP county results via CNN, unofficial as of 2:17 p.m. ET Nov. 4, 2026. Canvass numbers will replace them.

2024 baseline: the tonmcg compilation of Fox News results, whose compiler says they are not authoritative.

Swing: Democratic margin, Democrat minus Republican, 2026 Senate minus 2024 president. A change in margins, not a count of voters who switched sides.

Not in the count: states with no Democrat-against-Republican Senate race; Alaska, which reports by state House district and was still counting; and six Illinois counties whose counts were missing or incomplete.

Map boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau, via us-atlas 3.0.1.

The county data file, with a README, on GitHub

The RAMM